It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. And if the Sox do pick up his option, he is by no means a lock to pass Eckersley in saves next year if Hendriks gets most of the chances. Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. None. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. Were not concerned. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Ive covered the Mets for a variety of outlets since 1997. I found This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. NeverSober1900. I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . Be the first one to comment on this story. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. Drew. When Wainwright has pitched, hes been traditionally one of the better pitchers in the league, having won 20 games twice, 19 games on two other occasions, and led the league twice. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Its early in spring training. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Dont hold your breath. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! Flaherty is calm. Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. The hot air balloon . Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. His velocity has dropped again, though Wainwright did push it up a little in his second start. Adam Wainwright Stats. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. Justin Verlander has pulled off one of the rare accomplishments for a pitcher winning a league MVP award. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. Astros @ Cardinals. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. The Cardinals are calm. While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. Once Molina has been. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. But at least it wont be historically egregious. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. 55 votes, 66 comments. 9 mo. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Adam Wainwright biography. But if it wasn't for . Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright may have ended a solid career. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. But theres no alarm. Drew move to Atlanta. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Outside of Clayton Kershaw, he may be the most dominant pitcher in the game right now; FanGraphs credits Scherzer with more WAR than any non-Kershaw pitcher (25.9) since 2013. 1:09 | September 14, 2022 St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Look at that. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment.